I thought I was finished but two things :
a) the World Cup and many countries seeing a more positive image of Russia than experienced previously through the media particularly for UK, EU, US citizens. To put it bluntly, they have previously been lied to – repeatedly.
b) also with the World Cup, the attention seeking behaviour of US politicians and their UK acolytes whose team is not in the World Cup and it’s just possible that Russia’s interest in the US may be affected and possibly not 100% on them.
In particular one blog from a resident in Salisbury who supports most of the policies / ideology of US right – has a theory about the dossier, MI6 and Sergei Skripal’s involvement which led to an incident involving 2 people wearing white gloves and carrying a red bag whom he thinks the Skripals were going to meet in connection with a dossier. I do not think this theory if correct makes it any clearer who benefits. And it doesn’t make it clearer who was best placed to carry out this alleged cause of incident.
As before the police and NHS services are under financial and other pressures and also in Salisbury. The current chief constable who replaced someone investigating paedophilia and in particular Tory politicians, officially started work on the morning after the alleged incident. We also know about conflicting NHS accounts about a poisoning, how it affected the Skripals if it did and treatment as well as source.
One of the founders of the Syria propaganda organisations who is apparently former MI6 and who has made films about chemical attacks calls the Salisbury incident a hoax.
The Skripal incident was used as a justification to expel diplomats and also lead to bombing of Syria.
Both a Navy admiral and an army general appeared in mainstream media saying that Syria shouldn’t be bombed without enough evidence. But one was cut off mid interview which clearly shows government interference.
Government interference. We know Boris Johnson, Theresa May, David Cameron and in the US Obama, Clinton as well as the current White House inhabitants lie all the time. We know that all of those above are giving the US and EU and Nato politicians unprecedented access to secret policing and intelligence far beyond their remit. We know 2 D notices were slapped onto the media. We know Johnson and May immediately suggested the cause of the alleged incident as the Russian government.
The press release from the Navy on the morning after the alleged incident refers to the end of a successful 3 week chemical attack training exercise on Salisbury plain with a key focus being on treatment of casualties. This may explain the presence and availability of specialists at Salisbury hospital and the hazmat suits, closing off areas and other ‘street activity’ i.e. make a nerve agent scenario easier to emerge.
The unusual appearance of the admiral (who repeatedly refers to Russia as a strategic enemy) and the general in reference to Syria above may mean that they know whether the alleged incident in Salisbury was a hoax, a training exercise or an actual incident (of course they would know people who know people and of course if official secrets are involved they are not going to spill them) but like Porton Down scientists, they may be under pressure to maintain a government narrative. But just like doctors, they have to live with their consciences and the limited version of events that the Chilcot report produced will have had some effect on future incidents (but clearly not enough). Former as well as current prime ministers, presidents, foreign secretaries of both UK and US still operate with some powers.
It’s possible that the Russian government knows more about the Salisbury alleged incident that for international security reasons they may not be divulging, however the expulsion and timing of the expulsion would suggest they may feel less than inclined to uphold international security that bites their hands.
Someone who writes in mainstream media says she has a source close to Russian government who says they were were surprised by the incident. Which is more than ‘highly likely’ considering they were in the middle of the Russian presidential election campaign and World Cup preparations. Additionally some commentators have suggested that Sergei Skripal wanted to return to Russia. How would we know and why would we need to know the whims of an ex spy. Most of the world’s population including myself have never seen or heard of Skripal before this year. Just because the Russian government may not be racing to Pulkhovo with a bunch of flowers if he did want to return, doesn’t mean they would ‘off’ him. If he did want to return I’m sure he would be far more closely monitored than he is now.
If he has wilfully taken part in an incident that has damaged the reputation of the Russian government, it still doesn’t follow that he would be assassinated. And to suggest that the possibility damage reputation would not be considered by the Russian government is bizarre.
Some commentators think it was a private incident with links to far-right and ‘Russian speaking’ mafia which narrows it down to all the wealthy people who have ‘business connections’ with mafia who speak Russian in many countries so could theoretically carry out the alleged incident.
Skripal family. There is no reason to believe anyone other than Sergei Skripal’s mother – there could be all kinds of family activity which could be relevant to the alleged incident.
Several Russian and Russian speaking commentators do not find Yulia’s press statements and interview credible in particular the words used and how they were used as well as her physical appearance.
I do think the amount of public interest, the amount of NHS, police and general public will make it impossible for the government narrative to hold – it is simply not credible. Thousands of extra investigators but no perpetrator and no proven evidence.
But anyone advancing a theory that attempts to blame or clear a politician will be looked at through the bias of that person. Let’s hope that those politicians who do know will actually for once face the consequences of their actions.